All about defeating the SARS2 coronavirus and the COVID19 disease it causes
For more detailed onjectives and the author's biography, please see https://bit.ly/blogobjectives
PRESS CONFERENCE LED BY PM JOHNSON 28 May 2020
Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps
Henry is the Features Editor at the Financial Times. He summed up concisely what everyone else was saying:
Tomorrow, Saturday 4 July, the government has planned to substantially ease lockdown restrictions for the general community in England. Are we ready? We weren’t. But has the situation improved sufficiently to make these easings? To answer that question, and understand and manage the pandemic in the general community, we need to understand what is happening to new infections. These are also known as “new cases” as a result of “transmission” of the COVID-19 disease by the SARS-COV-2 virus: Whilst death and hospitalisation data is important, these events occur some weeks after transmission, and are therefore not sufficiently timely There is no data directly relating to transmission. All data has an inherent delay, as explained in each case below. In particular: Symptoms do not occur until at least 5 days after infection Testing typically takes 2 days or more to produce results People can remain asymptomatic yet are still contagious. We...
I recently wrote about the issues involved in partially re-opening schools , as hoped on 1 June. Yes it would be good to get some kids back to school. For their sakes, their parents, and their employers. Makes a lot of sense. But only if done safely. For the kids. But also for the adults. Teachers, other staff and parents. Sir Patrick Vallance at the press conference on 22 May indicated that it would inevitably put upward pressure on R. It was already 0.7 - 1.0 when last announced back on 15 May. Yet we know how important it is to keep R below 1.0, and preferably below 0.5. I've now had chance to review the guidance for schools published recently by the government . This was published on 12 May, with an update expected shortly. My earlier posting highlighted that adult to adult transmission is actually a bigger concern than child to child or child to adult, as children seem to have a natural immunity . They rarely cat...
Last night, Prime Minister Johnson made a televised presentation to the UK public. The focus was on England, as the devolved administrations in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are responsible for their own NHS and their own lockdown arrangements. GENERAL ASSESSMENT I welcome the general tone of the presentation. As I hoped in the the previous post , the intention is to ease lockdown as fast as possible but cautiously. Safety first, otherwise R will rise, infections will soar, and further lockdowns will be necessary. Economic damage would then be worse than easing lockdown carefully. But as has been widely reported today (Monday), the lack of detail has meant widespread confusion and dismay. What was my initial reaction on PM Johnson's "road map"? There are 5 "Alert levels" (hence the "Stay Alert" message). But vague on conditions for each step of the plan. Vague on timescales. Indeed the graphic for what would happen when bore n...
Comments
Post a Comment